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#26 2011-10-01 06:39:29

Sator
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Posts: 283

Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

The fact that Hitler was so overconfident in the absolute supremacy of the Wehrmacht meant that he never thought to coordinate with his far Eastern ally. Add to that the severe underestimation of the size of the Red Army forces, and the underpreparation for the coming winter campaign meant that Hitler had crippled Barbarossa before it began. Add in Hitler's micromanagement of the campaign and his going after political targets rather than strategic ones truly and he utterly doomed them to failure. Also stupid was the fact that they brutally mistreated the locals in places like Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and the Ukraine rather than getting them on side, since they all hated the Russians (and they still do) so much that they initially cheerfully welcomed the Wehrmacht forces as liberators from Communist oppression. Just as the Napoleonic Grande Armee marched in 250 000 strong and retreated only several thousand strong, so too did the Wehrmacht crumple under the sheer weight of incompetence.

History is also decisive here, as the Russians have never been defeated in an offensive from the West. However, there is precedent for their defeat from the East: Genghis Khan. If the Germans had coordinated with Japan, so that instead of a naval assault on Pearl Harbour having taken place to draw America into the conflict - to Churchill's utter delight - a coordinated Japanese assault with the Wehrmacht on the Soviet Union had occurred, then Stalin would have been sandwiched between Napoleon and Genghis Khan. The famous Red Army winter counteroffensive, perhaps the greatest fight back from a losing position in all military history, would have been profoundly weakened. The great encirclement of the German 6th Army may never have happened, as it was reliant,  based on intelligence that Japan was not going to open hostilities, on the withdrawal of Siberian forces (Sibiryaki) specialising in winter combat:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0u8VvyqhJEU

They would appear out of blizzards from seemingly nowhere, decked in Russian furs on cross country skis to conduct their assaults on the hapless Germans still in summer uniform.

However, the initial impact of the German summer assault was so ferocious that Stalin at one point thought that resisting the Germans was futile. The Red Army felt like they were trying to resist a hurricane, and only just managed to hang on by the skin of their teeth. Even their victory was the most Pyrrhic in all of military history: around 10 million combat fatalities and civilian deaths of up to twice that number. They sacrificed more than the entire population of modern Australia to defeat Hitler. Had Stalin (or should that be Zjukov?) been forced to fight on two fronts while America sat aside in neutral territory, the survival by the skin of his teeth would likely have been turned into defeat.

Last edited by Sator (2011-10-01 06:42:11)


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#27 2011-10-01 06:59:05

formby
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From: Wiseacre
Posts: 8359

Re: Of iGents and Steampunks


"Dressing, like painting, should have a residual stability, plus punctuation and surprise." - Richard Merkin

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#28 2011-10-01 08:44:04

Maximilien de Robespierre
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Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

Last edited by Maximilien de Robespierre (2011-10-01 08:50:29)

 

#29 2011-10-01 09:40:08

Gilgamesh2003
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Posts: 1383

Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

Gentlemen, could one of you comment on the critical role played by the events that took place at Castle Wolfenstein?

 

#30 2011-10-01 10:10:56

formby
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From: Wiseacre
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Re: Of iGents and Steampunks


"Dressing, like painting, should have a residual stability, plus punctuation and surprise." - Richard Merkin

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#31 2011-10-01 10:39:46

Sator
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Posts: 283

Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

On the other hand, the Russians knew that they were extremely thinly stretched on the Eastern boarder thanks to the all out assault from Barbarossa. It was a poorly supplied makeshift force that was intended to make the Japanese think that the forces were larger, better equipped, and more capable than they really were. In reality, they were living on a prayer that the Japanese would not open hostilities again. This this was a situation that the Japanese Empire could have taken better advantage of rather than committing suicide in taking on the Americans, while better helping the Germans by attacking British Singapore instead of taking the bait from the Americans to start hostilities (so Roosevelt could enter the war without the condemnation of those voters who favoured neutrality). Instead the Russians sighed a sigh of relief when intelligence came that Japan had no intention to break the peace pact. They had been let off the hook in a major way, and could now safely withdraw Eastern and Siberian forces to use in the winter counter offensive against the Germans.

Of course, another potential traditional southern ally of Germany they neglected in Hitler's massive hubris were the Turks/Ottomans in the Middle East. Once again, if they had gone into the Middle East to secure fuel supplies and renew old allegiances before attacking with someone much sharper like Rommel at the helm from the South of Russia/Middle East, they would have had a better fighting chance. And, yes, the precedent of Alexander the Great was there too. 

Control of the Middle East would have not only starved Britain of an oil supply, they could have then shipped fuel from the Middle East via Singapore to Japan in exchange for military support. To this day, all oil to the Far East/Oceania goes through Singapore and with the British in control there and the Americans helping to enforce the embargo, Japan was starved of a solid oil supply. And once again, if the Germans had fought to secure the allegiance of the Ukrainians (who are to this day anti-Russian and pro-Western) with their oil supplies, in exchange for a little autonomy, rather than considering them Slavonic Untermensch to be exterminated, a particularly strong Southern offensive line to cut off the Soviet fuel lines that avoided the bitter cold of Northern Russia  - as favoured by the professional strategists in the Wehrmacht - might have been successfully pursued as the same time as Japan put the pinch on from the Far East.

As often happens in military failures, the petty politicians who believe their spin, and who crown themselves as chief military strategists run roughshod over professional military advice. So in the Wehrmacht went with an offensive front ridiculously widely spread from far north in Leningrad all the way down to Stalingrad just to capture politically symbolic cities named after Lenin and Stalin along with the capital of Moscow. Even the siege of Stalingrad was stupid - they should have just surrounded it and pushed on to the oil fields as originally planned. When things got tough in winter up north, they should have pulled out of Leningrad and Moscow to fall back onto concentrating the prong of the attack towards the souther oil fields. Instead came Hitler suicidal order to "stand fast".

It was all a repetition of Napoleon's failures. As a young and ambitious general he was brilliant but once he crowned himself emperor he became more of a politician who tended to increasingly believe his own spin. Military strategy dictated by politician spin is the mother of all disasters - hmmm... haven't we seen history repeat recently?

As for the Duke of Windsor. He was right to see the potential for a Europe dominated by fascism: the means and potential were there. And if instead of going off and doing totally stupid things, Hitler had concentrated the full fury of the Wehrmacht, Luftwaffe and Reichsmarine on the British Isles without the distraction of the Eastern Front, Windsor may well have gotten his wish to go from Il Duke to Il Duce of Britain. Even if Britons had fought on the beaches and the hills, it was unlikely that the British voting public would have allowed their Prime Minister to have sacrificed anything - even 20 million voters, just to defeat Hitler. That was not a concern that Stalin needed to have - he was more worried about being captured by Hitler and strung up by the neck with piano wire and couldn't care less how many of his people he sacrificed to stay in power.


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#32 2011-10-01 10:58:56

Sator
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Re: Of iGents and Steampunks


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#33 2011-10-01 11:08:18

formby
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From: Wiseacre
Posts: 8359

Re: Of iGents and Steampunks


"Dressing, like painting, should have a residual stability, plus punctuation and surprise." - Richard Merkin

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#34 2011-10-01 11:24:52

formby
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From: Wiseacre
Posts: 8359

Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

Last edited by formby (2011-10-01 11:56:41)


"Dressing, like painting, should have a residual stability, plus punctuation and surprise." - Richard Merkin

Souvent me Souvient

 

#35 2011-10-01 14:42:20

captainpreppy
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Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

 

#36 2011-10-01 15:14:56

Maximilien de Robespierre
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Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

 

#37 2011-10-01 16:04:05

formby
Member
From: Wiseacre
Posts: 8359

Re: Of iGents and Steampunks


"Dressing, like painting, should have a residual stability, plus punctuation and surprise." - Richard Merkin

Souvent me Souvient

 

#38 2011-10-01 18:33:45

Maximilien de Robespierre
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Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

 

#39 2011-10-01 20:47:25

Sator
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Posts: 283

Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

Last edited by Sator (2011-10-01 21:07:43)


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#40 2011-10-01 22:44:09

Maximilien de Robespierre
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Posts: 1153

Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

^^^^^^^^^^^^^

The numbers are mind-boggling, and reveal the foolishness of the Western "conservatives" who moan and groan about Roosevelt being bamboozled by Stalin and "abandoning" Eastern Europe to the Soviets.  What, exactly, were the Western powers supposed to do about the Soviet occupation of Eastern Europe?  Drive them out?  How?  The British and Americans had had their hands full with the Nazi B team, and now they were supposed to take on the Red Army just so the Poles and Czechs could have elections and listen to the BBC?  There was literally nothing that anyone on Earth could have done to move the Soviets out of Eastern Europe after the price they paid - much of it because of the cynical refusal of the Americans and British to open a second front in Europe until 1944.  Stalin really gave everyone a lesson after Yalta:  He promised a second front in the East 90 days after Germany's surrender.  On the 90th day, the Soviets unloaded on the Japanese with a campaign of combined operations that conclusively demonstrated that the British and Americans together had no hope of defeating the Russians anywhere.  "That's how you open a second front, assholes.  So what's this bullshit about Eastern Europe?"

Last edited by Maximilien de Robespierre (2011-10-01 22:56:07)

 

#41 2011-10-02 00:31:10

4F Hepcat
THE Cat
Posts: 14333

Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

My wife's mother was born in the Ukraine in 1942 and she has some interesting tales to tell of the period. Her father was one of the few men in her village to survive the hostilities and was seriously shell shocked and battle scared. Despite this, there was a lot of jealousy because a lot of the women were left widowed and the impact of the fatalities during WWII are beyond the concept of most of us.

Her grandfather also had to go on the run for a couple of years for being a capitalist during the Soviet created famine in the 1930's as he owned a cow. Had Adolf and his chums played the master race card differently, then the locals would have supported them. Of course after the war, the Great Patriotic one, Stalin succeeded in Sovietizing the Ukraine.

The German invasion initially followed a scorched earth policy and they took all the food and the Romanian troops were amongst the worse for random massacres and killing of women and children. During the long retreat the Germans started to ask and beg for food, in the knowledge that they would be held to account by the Russians.

I'm very much interested in the air war in all theatres, particularly the Eighth Air Force, I find the bravery of the crews awe inspiring and the horror of the bombs almost beyond moral justification. It intrigues me.

In any event, two totalitarian master race systems i.e. Imperial Japan and Nazi Germany would have instantly turned on each other in the event of victory.


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#42 2011-10-02 03:53:36

formby
Member
From: Wiseacre
Posts: 8359

Re: Of iGents and Steampunks


"Dressing, like painting, should have a residual stability, plus punctuation and surprise." - Richard Merkin

Souvent me Souvient

 

#43 2011-10-02 05:06:17

formby
Member
From: Wiseacre
Posts: 8359

Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

Last edited by formby (2011-10-02 06:58:26)


"Dressing, like painting, should have a residual stability, plus punctuation and surprise." - Richard Merkin

Souvent me Souvient

 

#44 2011-10-02 16:07:08

captainpreppy
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Posts: 1536

Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

 

#45 2011-10-02 22:35:48

Maximilien de Robespierre
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Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

 

#46 2011-10-03 00:56:02

Oo Bop Sh'bam
Ivy Iconoclast
From: within.
Posts: 4067

Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

To add to the Eastern Europe Pro-Nazi sentiment, a few of the Polish people I've met say that the feeling in Poland was they'd rather have been under occupation from the Nazis than the Russians. They believe that after the war we left them in the lurch. But for the reasons stated above, what could we have done? Facing down the Russians in their own backyard?


''If I can't share my faith in Christ here, I'd just as soon not have to put up with people advocating drug use.''

 

#47 2011-10-03 20:06:21

captainpreppy
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Posts: 1536

Re: Of iGents and Steampunks

 

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